A new analysis appeared yesterday in Latino Decisions concerning the rising Hispanic population in Arizona. From the statistics it appears Arizona won’t be a red state for much longer. The report was conducted by Latino Decisions and commissioned by America’s Voice. The immigration issue that Congress has become stalled on is a rising matter of concern for many Hispanics. Right now it appears that both Republican and Democrats have an equal opportunity for gaining the Hispanic vote if one of the parties embraces pro-immigration reforms.
The Latino voting block is expected to become the majority in Arizona within the next 15 years. The growing Hispanic population in the state is NOT due to immigration but to a youthful Hispanic population who are having children. The report states that even though Hispanics in the State voted GOP in the past today they’ve all but abandoned the GOP due to concerns about the GOP’s hard stance against immigration reform.
In 2012, the analysis shows, only 40% of Hispanics voted while 60% did not. In the US as a whole only 48% of Hispanics voted in 2012 while 52% did not. In 2010 only 14% of Hispanics voted for Arizona Governor Jan Brewer. In fact, according to the report Hispanics have fled from the GOP ever since the state passed the now infamous and mostly declared unconstitutional SB 1070 anti-immigration bill.
When asked if they knew someone who is an undocumented immigrant 65% of Arizona Hispanics answered “yes” while 30% said “no.” Among Latino voters in Arizona 41% said they vote in support of Latino community more-so than they vote Republican or Democrat.
One thing is clear for Arizona. There is a massive Hispanic vote that needs to be mobilized in the state and if done it will change the face of state politics for a long time. These statistics are common now throughout the American Southwest including Texas and New Mexico. The Hispanic vote is a rising power that both Democrats and Republicans are going to have to deal with and appeal to.